Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.602672 4.165276 4.789731 5.534757 6.400211 7.374813 8.556944
2024-10-06 3.099853 3.899984 4.867809 6.127043 7.725943 9.693517 12.306569
2024-10-13 2.616530 3.543228 4.751473 6.447827 8.777704 11.879510 16.346257
2024-10-20 2.195317 3.174289 4.539146 6.590936 9.615859 13.940636 20.645542
2024-10-27 1.770900 2.714536 4.111166 6.343407 9.851051 15.199833 24.067520
2024-11-03 1.585614 2.566185 4.100642 6.698028 11.031538 18.053941 30.460677
2024-11-10 1.448686 2.465040 4.139531 7.128991 12.402922 21.448949 38.414141
2024-11-17 1.300359 2.316577 4.071854 7.363112 13.476822 24.530586 46.446474
2024-11-24 1.143711 2.125128 3.895508 7.368703 14.135593 26.983151 53.809485
2024-12-01 0.979981 1.892465 3.605340 7.108515 14.240863 28.408574 59.448858
2024-12-08 0.840160 1.681700 3.321088 6.806941 14.202745 29.531208 64.672172
2024-12-15 0.764930 1.585743 3.243864 6.906750 14.999932 32.491529 74.432052
2024-12-22 0.676171 1.452674 3.080427 6.819371 15.431397 34.863317 83.662995
2024-12-29 0.644983 1.437137 3.161787 7.285237 17.198104 40.581115 102.184789
2025-01-05 0.596084 1.374545 3.130943 7.492325 18.410897 45.276017 119.359983
2025-01-12 0.542411 1.292096 3.041793 7.545841 19.265850 49.289466 135.789162
2025-01-19 0.471069 1.155998 2.804870 7.192015 19.021000 50.471723 144.828385
2025-01-26 0.448296 1.135046 2.843141 7.549280 20.724842 57.164947 171.304596
2025-02-02 0.431851 1.127332 2.913282 8.005355 22.798728 65.335128 204.370249
2025-02-09 0.406436 1.091931 2.906017 8.248357 24.321992 72.276060 235.506778
2025-02-16 0.373049 1.029543 2.816522 8.241227 25.109128 77.212623 261.497241
2025-02-23 0.332304 0.940155 2.638407 7.940867 24.940671 79.177603 277.992391
2025-03-02 0.294973 0.854529 2.457203 7.597674 24.568035 80.417782 292.311617